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Trouble in Common / International Relations

Four Days on the Ridge

Would you take the truce when the odds change?

Advise a cabinet weighing a local truce. Compare how two briefings frame the same odds, investigate reports from Kargil, and decide what would count as evidence that a handover took place.

Created by Yoav Duman

Two military posts stand along a snow-covered mountain ridge. The title reads Four Days on the Ridge, with the credit Created by Yoav Duman.
Format
Solo crisis simulation
Time to plan
60–75 min
What you produce
A cabinet report with decisions, calculations, document comparisons, and nine written responses

Play the simulation

Briefings, probability tools, maps, and source excerpts are in the game. No advance reading is required.

Choose For Class at the start. Enter your name and, if you wish, your class or section. Finish the responses and checks to open your report. To pause or change devices, open Save & resume and download a JSON backup. Use the same activity and mode to restore it.

Choose Download Class PDF in your finished report. If needed, use Print or save as PDF. Open the PDF to check your name and responses, then upload it to Canvas.

What you’ll practice

  • Identify a change in reference point while the possible outcomes and odds stay fixed.
  • Calculate expected posts and explain why two choices with the same average may carry different risks.
  • Compare what the July 4 statement and July 11–12 accounts establish about the Kaksar withdrawal.
  • Revise advice using a changed forecast and a field signal, then apply verification reasoning to Korea.

Guides and downloads