Open the case files. Test a theory. Follow the organizations that keep authority working, or stop sustaining it. New evidence may put your first explanation in trouble.
Distinguish four political outcomes. Turn an explanatory lens into a process involving particular actors, actions and institutions.
02 / Open the cases
Let the record push back.
Investigate Tunisia, compare Egypt and challenge a generalization with Belarus. Examine real numbers, disputed accounts, original sources and dated institutional changes.
03 / Transfer & defend
Make the explanation travel.
Write an independent Sri Lanka brief. Compare rivals, preserve your first account and propose a hypothesis with evidence that could weaken it.
The learning work
Show your reasoning.
The notebook preserves explanations and revisions for instructor review. Opening a file and meeting a word floor record an attempt; the quality of an argument needs human assessment.
Skills, practice and evidence students produce
Skill
What students practice
What an instructor can examine
Concepts & theory
Distinguish leader exit, regime transformation, democratization and social revolution.
Dated outcome ledger and actor-action explanation.
Evidence & numbers
Read source limits, dates, units and denominators. Separate an observation from an inference.
Rumor audit, source corrections and parliamentary-ballot interpretation.
Causal comparison
Develop a serious rival and request evidence that could distinguish explanations.
Egypt comparison and Belarus missing-evidence request.
Revision & transfer
Explain why a claim changes or survives, then test its reach in a different setting.
Preserved first brief, Sri Lanka audit and testable hypothesis.
Plan three 50-minute meetings, with saving and discussion.
This is an advanced, resumable activity. Introduce state, regime, government and institutions first. An accelerated two-meeting route requires preparation and follow-up. Timing is a teaching plan to pilot.
Your commission is open
Follow the evidence.
Work saves in this browser on this website. Use Save / restore to move a progress backup between devices or websites. Use Notebook to export a report, then submit it through Canvas or your course system. Exporting does not submit it.
The Commission is fictional; documented historical outcomes remain fixed. Four purposively selected cases support comparison, not a general revolution success rate. Different interpretations can earn full credit when supported. Reviews used AI-simulated perspectives; classroom learning effects still require human piloting.
